Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 170 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 91% on 9 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 87.2% on 15 Feb 2024. $1.73M traded over the market's life.
143 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 170 points, 14 Feb 2024 – 1 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hellohello | Yes | 23.26K |
| Impassioned-Rage | Yes | 17.54K |
| Direct-Cappelletti | Yes | 16.41K |
This is a market on predicting when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by
| Yes |
| 12.06K |
| nautikal | Yes | 12.01K |
| bet2win | Yes | 9.41K |
| Ronmas | Yes | 7.35K |
| splift | Yes | 6.78K |
| hulk-260 | Yes | 5K |
| ZiggyLFG | Yes | 3.66K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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