Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.9%. Yes opened at 88% on 16 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 16 May 2024 to 28 Jun 2024, the highest close was 98.9% on 28 Jun 2024 and the lowest 77% on 11 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 87.5% on 16 Jun 2024. $134.36K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 4:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 16 May 2024 – 28 Jun 2024, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2024 | 88.0% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 98.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 1713888952017 | No | 4.5K |
| Imprecise50655 | No | 1.17K |
| Mootercukk | No | 829.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden and Donald Trump engage in a live, publicly-broadcast debate at any point on June 27, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that debate has been postponed or cancelled this market may immediately resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. Changes to the June 27th debate such as a switch in the hosting network, or a debate that begins on June 27 and then ends early, will still result in a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-biden-debate-on-june-27-as-planned
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