Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 14% on 11 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 14% on 11 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.7% on 30 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 7% on 12 Jun 2024. $6.45K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 11 Jun 2024 – 1 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2024 | 14.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yarden | Yes | 71.43 |
| Retired-Mentat | No | 0.07 |
| baggot | No | 0.04 |
| CompulsiveGambler | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-called-before-july
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