Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 6 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 6 Jul 2024 to 21 Jul 2024, the highest close was 75.5% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 8% on 17 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 75.5% on 19 Jul 2024. $2.09M traded over the market's life.
222 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 8:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 6 Jul 2024 – 21 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2024 | 45.0% |
| 21 Jul 2024 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| buy-sub10k-Ordinals | No | 189.56K |
| RunItBackTurbo69 | No | 25.62K |
| TestMeNow | No | 11.21K |
| Benjaminng | No | 8.98K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-drops-out-in-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| kindatired | No | 7.9K |
| woleo | No | 3.27K |
| xcddddl | No | 2.11K |
| Bold Summit 0766 | No | 2.08K |
| thelion | No | 1.7K |
| jisvg | No | 1.65K |
