Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 458.7 | $0.964 | $441.96 | -$0.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | 15m ago |
|
| No |
| 12 |
| $0.990 |
| $11.97 |
| +$0.09 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 12 | $0.822 | $10.44 | +$0.58 |
 Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 10 | $0.966 | $9.72 | +$0.05 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.850 | $9.69 | +$1.19 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 10 | $0.812 | $9.25 | +$1.13 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10 | $0.875 | $9.01 | +$0.26 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 9 | $0.748 | $8.87 | +$2.14 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.823 | $8.37 | +$0.95 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 8 | $0.978 | $7.84 | +$0.02 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.834 | $7.8 | -$0.54 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 8 | $0.958 | $7.67 | +$0.01 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.470 | $7.35 | +$2.65 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 8 | $0.885 | $7.32 | +$0.24 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 8 | $0.910 | $7.1 | -$0.18 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7 | $0.955 | $7 | +$0.31 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 8 | $0.812 | $6.84 | +$0.34 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 6 | $0.910 | $5.96 | +$0.5 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6 | $0.937 | $5.89 | +$0.27 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 6 | $0.870 | $5.46 | +$0.24 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.793 | $5.19 | +$0.43 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 6 | $0.797 | $4.83 | +$0.05 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 4 | $0.967 | $3.95 | +$0.09 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 4 | $0.981 | $3.94 | +$0.02 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 4 | $0.928 | $3.91 | +$0.2 |
| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.800 |
| $1.6 |
| 1h ago |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.939 | $1.88 | 8h ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2 | $0.995 | $1.99 | 12h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 418.36 | $0.965 | $403.83 | 23h ago |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 12 | $0.790 | $9.48 | 23h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 12 | $0.995 | $11.94 | 23h ago |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.940 | $12.22 | 23h ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 13 | $0.925 | $12.03 | 23h ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 14 | $0.830 | $11.62 | 23h ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | 23h ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 14 | $0.930 | $13.02 | 23h ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.55 | $0.930 | $13.53 | 23h ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.172 | $2.58 | 23h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 16 | $0.991 | $15.86 | 23h ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 18 | $0.813 | $14.63 | 23h ago |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.870 | $15.66 | 23h ago |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 20 | $0.963 | $19.26 | 23h ago |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 21 | $0.973 | $20.43 | 23h ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 22 | $0.987 | $21.71 | 23h ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 24 | $0.890 | $21.36 | 23h ago |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 25 | $0.972 | $24.3 | 23h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.760 | $19.76 | 23h ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 27.99 | $0.990 | $27.71 | 23h ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 41.79 | $0.840 | $35.1 | 23h ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 85 | $0.071 | $6.03 | 23h ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.630 | $32.13 | 23h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 107.21 | $0.150 | $16.08 | 23h ago |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.038 | $37.62 | 23h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 36.34 | $0.963 | $35 | 1d ago |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.870 | $1.74 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.880 | $1.76 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.780 | $1.56 | 2d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.790 | $1.58 | 2d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.991 | $1.98 | 4d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.820 | $1.64 | 4d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | 4d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 2 | $0.860 | $1.72 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.830 | $1.66 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.940 | $0.07 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.38 | $0.940 | $0.36 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.950 | $1.9 | 4d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.900 | $1.8 | 4d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 2 | $0.929 | $1.86 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.950 | $1.9 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.976 | $1.95 | 5d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.940 | $1.88 | 5d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 2 | $0.850 | $1.7 | 5d ago |