Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 129.87 | $0.770 | $111.04 | +$11.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 57.41 | $0.819 | $47 | Aug 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 120.55 |
| $0.730 |
| $103.67 |
| +$15.67 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 57.41 | $0.819 | $50.52 | +$3.52 |
| buy |
| 129.87 |
| $0.770 |
| $100 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | buy | 120.55 | $0.730 | $88 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 60.6 | $0.600 | $36.36 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 22.98 | $0.983 | $22.59 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.167 | $23.84 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.002 | $0 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.968 | $26.88 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 22.37 | $0.447 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.010 | $0.45 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.035 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.900 | $25 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 25.41 | $0.787 | $20 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 50.56 | $0.890 | $45 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.100 | $2.6 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.220 | $24.44 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes | sell | 147.42 | $0.849 | $125.14 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes | buy | 147.42 | $0.814 | $120 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.850 | $102 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Oct 11, 2025 |