Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 54% on 17 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 94.5% on 8 May 2025 and the low 1.2% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 50.5% on 30 May 2025. $25.41K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 261 points, 17 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2025 | 54.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 1.2% |
This is a market on the likelihood of Trump reducing tariffs on Mexico by a specified date.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-lower-tariffs-on-mexico-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| nurek27 | Yes | 10.87 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes | 10 |
| Pessimistic-Wealth | Yes | 10 |
| 5446735 | Yes | 8.79 |
| cbddoksi998 | Yes | 8.7 |
| draker | Yes | 8.69 |
| qurtyn12dda23 | Yes | 8.68 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
