Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.227 | $49.75 | +$27.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 196.31 | $0.580 | $113.86 | Jul 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.227 |
| $22.7 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 26.39 | $0.065 | $1.72 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 850 | $0.062 | $52.7 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 436.35 | $0.001 | $0.44 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.98K | $0.010 | $49.8 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 188.67 | $0.006 | $1.13 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?No | sell | 169.09 | $0.995 | $168.24 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 197.67 | $0.430 | $85 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 186.05 | $0.430 | $80 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes | buy | 35.03 | $0.685 | $24 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 48.57 | $0.700 | $34 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 69.84 | $0.630 | $44 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.230 | $13.8 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?No | buy | 107.6 | $0.465 | $50 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 300.63 | $0.665 | $200 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 300 | $0.098 | $29.4 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4300 on August 11 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 47.72 | $0.314 | $15 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.935 | $4.68 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Genius" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 23.76 | $0.670 | $15.92 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big beautiful bill" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2800 on July 18?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No | buy | 100 | $0.304 | $30.4 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?Yes | buy | 54.62 | $0.659 | $36 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.699 | $69.9 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.004 | $0.62 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.028 | $2.36 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.001 | $0.22 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 55.38 | $0.008 | $0.44 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | sell | 302.21 | $0.002 | $0.6 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?Up | buy | 15 | $0.490 | $7.35 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 105.91 | $0.944 | $100 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.250 | $11 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 302.22 | $0.030 | $9 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 113.72 | $0.879 | $100 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.012 | $0.18 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Summer" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jun 17, 2025 |