Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 422.41 | $0.189 | $92.93 | +$12.93 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 809.2 | $0.095 | $77 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 809.2 |
| $0.095 |
| $52.6 |
| -$24.4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes | 1.21K | $0.100 | $28.53 | -$92.88 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 394.84 | $0.127 | $25.66 | -$24.34 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 1.09K | $0.135 | $18.51 | -$128.49 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 481.5 | $0.060 | $14.69 | -$14.2 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 1.28K | $0.047 | $9.59 | -$50.41 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | $0.010 | $0.45 | -$2.55 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 714.29 | $0.007 | $0.36 | -$4.64 |
| buy |
| 394.84 |
| $0.127 |
| $50 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.031 | $33 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 394.74 | $0.038 | $15 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes | buy | 985.91 | $0.020 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.013 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes | buy | 4.63K | $0.004 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?Yes | buy | 285.38 | $0.140 | $40 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 807.33 | $0.050 | $40 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.046 | $100 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 481.5 | $0.060 | $28.89 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.100 | $121.41 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.093 | $100 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 422.41 | $0.189 | $80 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?Yes | buy | 593.59 | $0.101 | $60 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.047 | $60 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.135 | $147 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.050 | $7.85 | Jan 17, 2026 |