Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.03 |
| $0.972 |
| $1 |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 21.6 | $0.017 | $0.37 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of November?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.033 | $0.3 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.028 | $0.7 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.687 | $1.57 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.020 | $0.57 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.012 | $0.63 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 1.43 | $0.760 | $1.09 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.740 | $1.92 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.800 | $1.15 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?Yes | sell | 36.36 | $0.060 | $2.18 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 7.7 | $0.850 | $6.55 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 77.25 | $0.017 | $1.31 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 77.26 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.500 | $1.14 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.050 | $2.17 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Macron out in 2025?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.485 | $0.9 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | sell | 20.47 | $0.120 | $2.46 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.029 | $0.48 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.025 | $0.74 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.008 | $0.55 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.013 | $0.14 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.060 | $0.75 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?Yes | sell | 91.06 | $0.006 | $0.55 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.690 | $4.83 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?Yes | sell | 271.76 | $0.002 | $0.66 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 301.93 | $0.010 | $3.14 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.539 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.014 | $0.04 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.023 | $0.05 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?Yes | buy | 91.06 | $0.022 | $2 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Sep 24, 2025 |