Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 83% on 11 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 298 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 83% on 11 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 46% on 4 May 2025. $406.13K traded over the market's life.
240 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 298 points, 11 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2025 | 83.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| morelinbins | Yes | 4.54K |
| itchieyim | Yes | 3.21K |
| Primel | Yes | 2.42K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the actor announced to be James Bond in the next official James Bond franchise film is a UK citizen. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no next James Bond is announced by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. Dual citizens will be considered British if one of their nationalities is British. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Barbara Broccoli, Michael G. Wilson, Amazon, or the James Bond Franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-next-james-bond-be-british
| tktktktktktk | Yes | 1.78K |
| darnstadiumbug | Yes | 1.73K |
| DerpyDude67 | Yes | 1.03K |
| ToFr | Yes | 969.16 |
| scriabin | Yes | 518.11 |
| Taut-Muffin | Yes | 504.52 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 484 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
