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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.810 | $2.08 | Apr 21, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 3.3 |
| $0.630 |
| $2.08 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.31 | $0.360 | $1.19 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?Yes | buy | 17.84 | $0.250 | $4.46 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 12.49 | $0.700 | $8.75 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.13 | $0.990 | $9.04 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETUp | sell | 2.18 | $0.230 | $0.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETUp | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 3.15 | $0.310 | $0.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.11 | $0.460 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.44 | $0.680 | $0.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETDown | buy | 11.07 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | buy | 9.96 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.065 | $1.27 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.007 | $0.1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.024 | $0.1 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?Yes | buy | 31.36 | $0.059 | $1.85 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.017 | $0.85 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Euro Finals: Spain vs. EnglandEngland | buy | 25.52 | $0.420 | $10.72 | Jul 13, 2024 |
 Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will France win?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jun 21, 2024 |
 Will Serbia win?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.130 | $0.3 | Jun 16, 2024 |
 Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 16, 2024 |
 Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | May 21, 2024 |
| Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 21, 2024 |
 Ethereum ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | May 21, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | May 20, 2024 |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | May 20, 2024 |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 20, 2024 |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | May 20, 2024 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 20, 2024 |
 LayerZero airdrop in 2023?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Nov 16, 2023 |