Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.49 | $0.992 | $7.25 | -$0.18 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.49 | $0.992 | $7.43 | 11d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 7.12 |
| $0.930 |
| $6.62 |
| 11d ago |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.950 | $6.77 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 7.62 | $0.983 | $7.49 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.984 | $7.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.71 | $0.999 | $7.7 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.981 | $7.5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.987 | $7.52 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?No | buy | 7.52 | $0.986 | $7.41 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No | sell | 7.42 | $0.999 | $7.41 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.998 | $7.41 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Infinex launch a token by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.997 | $7.38 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of December?Yes | buy | 7.39 | $0.996 | $7.36 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on November 30?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.998 | $7.34 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Progressive Cities ParlayNo | buy | 7.34 | $0.998 | $7.33 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | sell | 7.42 | $0.988 | $7.33 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Fed rate hike in 2025?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.989 | $7.34 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Marwan Barghouti released by October 31?No | buy | 7.34 | $0.992 | $7.28 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.53 | $0.940 | $6.14 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.987 | $3.25 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 4.66 | $0.968 | $4.51 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.989 | $5.14 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?No | buy | 0.85 | $0.996 | $0.85 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 0.73 | $0.958 | $0.7 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 0.78 | $0.982 | $0.77 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.997 | $0.72 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.976 | $1.97 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 0.63 | $0.976 | $0.61 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 1.0%-2.0%?No | buy | 0.58 | $0.996 | $0.58 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 25.13K | $0.001 | $25.13 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.997 | $1.38 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: OtherNo | sell | 3.15K | $0.998 | $3.14K | Oct 21, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 3.15K | $0.999 | $3.15K | Oct 21, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 3.17K | $0.992 | $3.15K | Oct 21, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 3.17K | $0.993 | $3.15K | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?No | buy | 0.8 | $0.999 | $0.8 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will another candidate win the Mozambican presidential election?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.999 | $1.36 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 30-34 times October 11-18?No | buy | 0.89 | $0.965 | $0.86 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Maria do Rosário win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?No | buy | 0.85 | $0.998 | $0.85 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.948 | $1.16 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.920 | $1.41 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 325-349 October 11-18?No | buy | 0.59 | $0.990 | $0.58 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Lutero Simango win the Mozambican presidential election?No | buy | 0.91 | $0.999 | $0.91 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | sell | 869.09 | $0.997 | $866.48 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | buy | 869.09 | $0.998 | $867.35 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 870.83 | $0.996 | $867.35 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 870.83 | $0.997 | $868.22 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 870.83 | $0.997 | $868.22 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 870.83 | $0.998 | $869.09 | Oct 6, 2024 |