Marwan Barghouti released by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marwan Barghouti is released from Israeli state custody by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Barghouti is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Barghouti is released via pardon, commutation, parole, exchange, or any other mechanism that results in him leaving Israeli state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Barghouti to any other location of custody (e.g., a different prison, a military facility, a court, or a hospital within the correctional or security system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as court appearances, medical treatment under guard, participation in negotiations, or legislative testimony, while still under custody, will not count as a release. A transfer to the custody of another authority where Barghouti remains detained will not count as a release; only non-custodial status counts as "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.