
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 12 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2024 to 18 Oct 2024, the highest close was 4.5% on 12 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 17 Oct 2024. $12.63K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 11:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Oct 2024 – 18 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2024 | 4.5% |
| 18 Oct 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.2K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.11K |
| bus | Yes | 397.33 |
| sfeg | Yes | 295.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between October 11 and October 18.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-oct-11-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| shenyu | Yes | 178.77 |
| ExtechTbs | Yes | 129.98 |
| Floralkid | Yes | 48 |
| NidaEcho | Yes | 10 |
| 5f218900824A5f1FC5A05D | Yes | 7.56 |
| Uoporer | No | 0.1 |