Latest trade
Aug 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:41 PM UTC.
Analytics
Fat-Earthworm has made $224.09 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 29 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:41 PM UTC.
$120.77 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Aug 12, 2024 UTC to Aug 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 220.31 | $0.390 | $34.04 | -$51.88 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BNB Up or Down - August 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 219.3 | $0.500 | $109.65 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-09 02:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 15:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 15:41 UTC
polymarket positions
30 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-09 02:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.56K and losing ones cost $25.62 across 29 settled positions. 24.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $594.69 on “Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 5PM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $6.02 on “Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Aug 2026. It has traded 36 markets. Its open positions are worth $34.04 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 233.12 |
| $0.500 |
| $116.56 |
| Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 240.32 | $0.500 | $120.18 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 176.61 | $0.500 | $88.36 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 242.74 | $0.500 | $121.37 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 235.9 | $0.500 | $117.95 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 258.84 | $0.500 | $129.42 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 249.52 | $0.500 | $124.76 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 263.48 | $0.500 | $131.74 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 0.4 | $0.782 | $0.31 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 265.77 | $0.785 | $208.63 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 265.37 | $0.786 | $208.58 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ETUp | sell | 9.53 | $0.490 | $4.67 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ETUp | buy | 238.34 | $0.500 | $119.17 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6AM ETDown | buy | 227.78 | $0.500 | $113.89 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6AM ETDown | buy | 233.1 | $0.500 | $116.55 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - January 10, 5AM ETDown | buy | 439.26 | $0.510 | $224.08 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 428.43 | $0.510 | $218.5 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7AM ETDown | buy | 141.47 | $0.510 | $72.15 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 7AM ETUp | buy | 423.53 | $0.510 | $216 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 220.31 | $0.390 | $85.92 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 151.21 | $0.511 | $77.28 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 63.62 | $0.517 | $32.88 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 5PM ETDown | buy | 1.28K | $0.536 | $686.59 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No | sell | 30.5 | $0.991 | $30.23 | Sep 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No | buy | 30.5 | $0.995 | $30.35 | Sep 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.001 | $5.5 | Jul 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?No | sell | 39.97 | $0.997 | $39.85 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?No | buy | 39.98 | $0.998 | $39.9 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
 Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?Yes | buy | 4.11K | $0.001 | $4.11 | Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win Illinois Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10.87 | $0.978 | $10.63 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win Illinois Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.983 | $10.69 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.02K | $0.001 | $6.02 | Oct 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Sep 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Aug 29, 2024 UTC |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?No | sell | 207.4 | $0.966 | $200.35 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
| Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?No | buy | 207.4 | $0.967 | $200.56 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 236.7 | $0.974 | $230.55 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 236.71 | $0.975 | $230.79 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
 Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?No | sell | 226.94 | $0.995 | $225.8 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
| Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?No | buy | 226.94 | $0.997 | $226.26 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 204.75 | $0.983 | $201.27 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 204.76 | $0.986 | $201.89 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
 Fed rate cut by December 18?Yes | sell | 206 | $0.980 | $201.88 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by December 18?Yes | buy | 206.01 | $0.982 | $202.3 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 213.15 | $0.996 | $212.3 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 213.16 | $0.998 | $212.73 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No | sell | 197.28 | $0.977 | $192.74 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No | buy | 197.28 | $0.979 | $193.14 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 203.62 | $0.988 | $201.18 | Aug 12, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.