Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 16 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2024 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 66% on 13 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 17% on 17 Dec 2024. $4.8M traded over the market's life.
172 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 2:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 16 Nov 2024 – 22 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2024 | 55.5% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 218.96K |
| Jinnen1-4 | Yes | 1.4K |
| BM-FRG | Yes | 1.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lara Trump is appointed as a U.S. Senator for Florida as a replacement for Secretary of State nominee Marco Rubio by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual appointed to replace Rubio as U.S. Senator for Florida - if another person is appointed this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If Marco Rubio does not resign by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-marco-rubio-as-florida-senator
| Yes |
| 1K |
| anastastes183 | Yes | 785 |
| evgtes21 | Yes | 735 |
| Ez12 | Yes | 599.99 |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 142.74 |
| Vladimir333 | Yes | 111.11 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 109.67 |
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