Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 574 | $0.600 | $370.23 | +$25.83 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 287 | $0.600 | $172.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 344 |
| $0.770 |
| $332.82 |
| +$67.76 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 341 | $0.790 | $317.64 | +$48.25 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 313 | $0.830 | $306.74 | +$46.89 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 351 | $0.868 | $300.11 | -$4.58 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 337 | $0.393 | $294.88 | +$162.29 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 558 | $0.570 | $281.79 | -$36.27 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 268.13 | $0.815 | $248.02 | +$29.62 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 240 | $0.910 | $231 | +$12.6 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 235 | $0.900 | $219.73 | +$8.23 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 201 | $0.780 | $191.96 | +$35.18 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 413 | $0.529 | $179.66 | -$39.02 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 185 | $0.940 | $178.62 | +$4.72 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 366 | $0.714 | $169.09 | -$92.15 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 175 | $0.890 | $168.35 | +$12.6 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 125.9 | $0.754 | $123.82 | +$28.94 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 146 | $0.503 | $69.35 | -$4.09 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 67.68 | $0.625 | $57.19 | +$14.86 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | No | 70.06 | $0.780 | $57.1 | +$2.45 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 109 | $0.580 | $52.87 | -$10.36 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 128 | $0.670 | $45.44 | -$40.32 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 111 | $0.762 | $42.01 | -$42.57 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 75 | $0.390 | $18 | -$11.25 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 29 | $0.634 | $13.2 | -$5.18 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 157 | $0.786 | $5.1 | -$118.27 |
| buy |
| 279 |
| $0.570 |
| $159.03 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.780 | $14.04 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.760 | $34.96 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 253 | $0.660 | $166.98 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.769 | $3.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.620 | $37.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 116 | $0.400 | $46.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 68 | $0.860 | $58.48 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 287 | $0.600 | $172.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 279 | $0.570 | $159.03 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 39.9 | $0.750 | $29.92 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 210.72 | $0.650 | $136.97 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 50 | $0.769 | $38.45 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.790 | $45.03 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.620 | $108.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.1 | $0.390 | $42.55 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 284 | $0.790 | $224.36 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 111 | $0.762 | $84.58 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 116 | $0.832 | $96.51 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | buy | 28.2 | $0.570 | $16.07 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | buy | 194 | $0.570 | $110.58 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.560 | $56.06 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | buy | 117.06 | $0.550 | $64.38 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.480 | $4.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.378 | $3.78 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 187 | $0.831 | $155.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 54.12 | $0.704 | $38.1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 178 | $0.410 | $72.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 184 | $0.620 | $114.08 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 124 | $0.704 | $87.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.420 | $56.7 | May 18, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 296 | $0.590 | $174.64 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No | buy | 318 | $0.630 | $200.34 | May 18, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 157 | $0.620 | $97.34 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 241 | $0.400 | $96.4 | May 9, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 195 | $0.620 | $120.9 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | buy | 27.91 | $0.667 | $18.62 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.360 | $1.29 | May 9, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 195 | $0.620 | $120.9 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No | buy | 3 | $0.810 | $2.43 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No | buy | 182 | $0.580 | $105.56 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No | buy | 251 | $0.780 | $195.78 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.310 | $28.52 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.720 | $54.72 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.720 | $23.76 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.336 | $33.6 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | May 5, 2026 |