Latest trade
Sep 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:43 PM UTC.
Analytics
Messy-Sculpting has made $327.28 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 32 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:43 PM UTC.
$75.98 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Sep 10, 2024 UTC to Sep 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 109.85 | $0.641 | $43.39 | -$27.09 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BNB Up or Down - September 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 258.68 | $0.500 | $129.34 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-08 03:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 12:43 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 12:43 UTC
polymarket positions
33 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-08 03:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.61K and losing ones cost $125.63 across 32 settled positions. 37.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $471.12 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $96 on “Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 Sep 2026. It has traded 40 markets. Its open positions are worth $43.39 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 283.46 |
| $0.500 |
| $141.73 |
| Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| BNB Up or Down - July 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 304.49 | $0.500 | $152.26 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - July 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 194.58 | $0.500 | $97.31 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ETUp | buy | 223.21 | $0.500 | $111.61 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ETUp | buy | 293.92 | $0.500 | $146.96 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 204.84 | $0.500 | $102.42 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - April 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 232.72 | $0.500 | $116.36 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 213.2 | $0.500 | $106.6 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 140.6 | $0.500 | $70.3 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 158.1 | $0.500 | $79.05 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ETUp | buy | 7.03 | $0.500 | $3.52 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ETUp | buy | 5.3 | $0.500 | $2.65 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ETUp | buy | 230.53 | $0.500 | $115.27 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ETDown | buy | 192 | $0.500 | $96 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8AM ETUp | buy | 254.96 | $0.510 | $130.03 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4AM ETDown | buy | 163.08 | $0.510 | $83.17 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3AM ETDown | buy | 138.13 | $0.510 | $70.4 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 3AM ETDown | buy | 226.94 | $0.510 | $115.74 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2AM ETUp | buy | 124.22 | $0.510 | $63.35 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.650 | $11.4 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 92.31 | $0.640 | $59.08 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.991 | $2.14 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ETDown | buy | 172.94 | $0.510 | $88.2 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ETDown | buy | 276.04 | $0.510 | $140.82 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ETUp | buy | 983.12 | $0.521 | $512 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 100.02 | $0.514 | $51.39 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown | buy | 99.87 | $0.514 | $51.31 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 102.08 | $0.500 | $51.04 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 99.83 | $0.518 | $51.76 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | sell | 99.36 | $0.734 | $72.91 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 99.37 | $0.517 | $51.37 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 17.6 | $0.997 | $17.55 | Aug 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 17.61 | $0.998 | $17.57 | Aug 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | sell | 19.61 | $0.998 | $19.57 | Jul 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | buy | 19.62 | $0.999 | $19.6 | Jul 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 19.89 | $0.985 | $19.59 | Jan 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 19.9 | $0.986 | $19.62 | Jan 7, 2025 UTC |
 Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?Yes | buy | 5.6K | $0.001 | $5.6 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 16.78 | $0.989 | $16.6 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 16.78 | $0.990 | $16.61 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.2K | $0.001 | $6.2 | Oct 16, 2024 UTC |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 219.13 | $0.994 | $217.82 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 219.14 | $0.996 | $218.26 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | sell | 221.58 | $0.985 | $218.26 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | buy | 221.58 | $0.987 | $218.7 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | sell | 215.38 | $0.972 | $209.35 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 215.38 | $0.975 | $210 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 220.23 | $0.996 | $219.35 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 119 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.