Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 2.72K | $0.944 | $2.6K | +$31.27 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?Yes | sell | 78.96 | $0.103 | $8.13 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 135.14 |
| $0.740 |
| $126.35 |
| +$26.35 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.720 | $54.5 | -$17.5 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 34.16 | $0.878 | $33.51 | +$3.51 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 20.55 | $0.730 | $18.6 | +$3.6 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | No | 13.63 | $0.880 | $11.47 | -$0.53 |
 LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? | Yes | 11.03 | $0.907 | $9.43 | -$0.57 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.69 | $0.780 | $4.46 | -$1.54 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 28.17 | $0.710 | $0.48 | -$19.52 |
| sell |
| 116.27 |
| $0.843 |
| $97.97 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 183.7 | $0.700 | $128.59 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 59.97 | $0.880 | $52.77 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 126.62 | $0.800 | $101.3 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 27?No | sell | 142.85 | $0.821 | $117.24 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 177.93 | $0.728 | $129.56 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 164.83 | $0.900 | $148.35 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 215.77 | $0.791 | $170.69 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 229.88 | $0.850 | $195.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 204.22 | $0.977 | $199.55 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | sell | 273.58 | $0.731 | $200.11 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 225.95 | $0.884 | $199.7 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 491.8 | $0.610 | $300 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | sell | 122.15 | $0.610 | $74.51 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 491.44 | $0.749 | $368.21 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 378.66 | $0.107 | $40.55 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 411.59 | $0.005 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 998.43 | $0.005 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes | sell | 103.44 | $0.455 | $47.02 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.300 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 33.67 | $0.297 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?No | sell | 294.11 | $0.061 | $18.01 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 359.18 | $0.028 | $10.15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?No | sell | 344.4 | $0.062 | $21.45 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 215.77 | $0.927 | $200 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 168.98 | $0.096 | $16.17 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?No | buy | 233.14 | $0.129 | $30 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 52.01 | $0.385 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.650 | $4.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 235.94 | $0.636 | $150 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | buy | 127.86 | $0.782 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 168.49 | $0.890 | $150 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 234.38 | $0.640 | $150 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.890 | $1.31K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 104.69 | $0.640 | $67 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Yanki ErelMatteo Martineau | sell | 24.32 | $0.700 | $17.02 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Segovia: Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan SmithPaul Inchauspe | sell | 40.29 | $0.410 | $16.52 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE | sell | 33.86 | $0.999 | $33.83 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 39.68 | $0.630 | $25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Zug: Philip Henning vs Thiago Seyboth WildThiago Seyboth Wild | sell | 26.8 | $0.941 | $25.22 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.630 | $18 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Yanki ErelMatteo Martineau | sell | 25.68 | $0.710 | $18.23 | Jul 24, 2026 |