Analytics
Resolved Keegan Smith on 24 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Keegan Smith at 65.5%. The Paul Inchauspe side opened at 35% on 23 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 35% on 23 Jul 2026 and the low 34.5% on 24 Jul 2026. $275.58K traded over the market's life.
123 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 25, 1:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Paul Inchauspe price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 23 Jul 2026 – 24 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 28%–40%
| Observed | Paul Inchauspe price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | 35.0% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| humkyakare | Paul Inchauspe | 21.73K |
| Bagwell306 | Paul Inchauspe | 4.32K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Paul Inchauspe | 2.44K |
| ForAndWithYou | Paul Inchauspe | 2.14K |
| Jarod21 | Paul Inchauspe | 1.91K |
| Exciting-Fir | Paul Inchauspe | 1K |
| Zelenskys-suit | Paul Inchauspe | 859.99 |
| Meowtchi | Paul Inchauspe | 626.8 |
| slimjoe | Paul Inchauspe | 486 |
| horoshka | Paul Inchauspe | 405.82 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Inchauspe and Keegan Smith in the Segovia, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Inchauspe' if Paul Inchauspe advances against Keegan Smith. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Paul Inchauspe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-inchaus-smit-2026-07-24
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
