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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Aug 27, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 65 |
| $0.210 |
| $13.65 |
| Aug 25, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.790 | $7.11 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.710 | $56.07 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 87.98 | $0.760 | $66.86 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 287 | $0.295 | $84.76 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 104.99 | $0.160 | $16.8 | May 13, 2025 |
Will George Simion win by over 18%?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.110 | $38.5 | May 13, 2025 |
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.110 | $82.5 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.680 | $14.28 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.034 | $15.3 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes | buy | 9.36 | $0.640 | $5.99 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 73.2 | $0.970 | $71 | May 6, 2025 |
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | May 6, 2025 |
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.150 | $3.45 | May 6, 2025 |
Will George Simion win by over 18%?Yes | buy | 457 | $0.150 | $68.55 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 94 | $0.999 | $93.91 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No | buy | 80 | $0.390 | $31.2 | May 4, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | buy | 40 | $0.810 | $32.4 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.690 | $40.02 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No | sell | 42 | $0.796 | $33.43 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $370-385m by April 30?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.915 | $32.95 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.240 | $12.72 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 40 | $0.930 | $37.2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
India military action against Pakistan before June?No | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Apr 25, 2025 |
India military action against Pakistan before June?No | buy | 11 | $0.310 | $3.41 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.410 | $13.53 | Apr 23, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 64 | $0.550 | $35.2 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.260 | $6.76 | Apr 17, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.660 | $27.06 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?Yes | buy | 306 | $0.140 | $42.84 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in April?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.794 | $7.94 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 108 | $0.330 | $35.64 | Apr 5, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 61 | $0.630 | $38.43 | Apr 5, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 287 | $0.220 | $63.14 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in April?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.230 | $26.91 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.998 | $81.84 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 40 | $0.760 | $30.4 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.740 | $40.7 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.410 | $23.37 | Mar 30, 2025 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | Mar 28, 2025 |