Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.560 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 |
ceasar-occaecati714 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,829,121 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$9.05 observed lifetime PnL, 50 resolved positions, a 8.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x43f6c8c33e28d0f6a370646d2341b4eb3ff421a1
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 0.01 |
| $0.720 |
| $0.01 |
| Nov 30, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.320 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.510 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.610 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.510 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Trump vs. Boden: First to 1BBoden | buy | 0.02 | $0.480 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.730 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerGukesh | buy | 0.01 | $0.730 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Trump vs. Boden: First to 1BTrump | buy | 0.02 | $0.570 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.710 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.290 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.280 | $0.03 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.290 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.500 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.570 | $0.02 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?100k | buy | 0.03 | $0.680 | $0.02 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.720 | $0.02 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.720 | $0.02 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 0.08 | $0.265 | $0.02 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.610 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.570 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Georgia Tech vs. GeorgiaGeorgia | buy | 0.03 | $0.370 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.290 | $0.06 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.310 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Trump vs. Boden: First to 1BBoden | buy | 0.02 | $0.470 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.715 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | buy | 0.03 | $0.340 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Kings vs. Trail BlazersKings | buy | 0.03 | $0.390 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.680 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.720 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.750 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.750 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.680 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight NightAnsem | sell | 0.15 | $0.270 | $0.04 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight NightAnsem | buy | 0.06 | $0.330 | $0.02 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.07 | $0.280 | $0.02 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Trump vs. Boden: First to 1BTrump | buy | 0.04 | $0.540 | $0.02 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | sell | 0.13 | $0.290 | $0.04 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | buy | 0.07 | $0.300 | $0.02 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | buy | 0.07 | $0.300 | $0.02 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.09 | $0.320 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.260 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.270 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.630 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.260 | $0.05 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.270 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.280 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.