Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

cryptoResolved

100k, settled Dec 5, 2024 UTC

90k

0.0%

100k

100.0%

Final 90k 0¢Final 100k 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.3M

Resolved

100k

Settled

Dec 5, 2024 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved 100k on 5 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had 100k at 75%. The 90k side opened at 61% on 26 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 26 Nov 2024 to 5 Dec 2024, the highest close was 78% on 27 Nov 2024 and the lowest 25% on 5 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 43% on 28 Nov 2024. $3.27M traded over the market's life.

234 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:07 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the 90k price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 26 Nov 2024 – 5 Dec 2024

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
nitish	90k	4.82K
Marcusgkr1	100k	1.37K
ine0107	90k	1.05K
saltmuffin	90k	975.61

10 of 234 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market on whether Bitcoin ($BTC) will first reach $90,000.00 USD or $100,000.00 USD between November 25, 2024, 11 AM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "90k" if $BTC drops to $90,000.00 USD or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "100k" if $BTC reaches $100,000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $BTC neither drops to $90,000.00 or below nor reaches $100,000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.