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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 7.14 |
| $0.140 |
| $0.32 |
| -$0.68 |
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.400 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
| sell |
| 2.17 |
| $0.670 |
| $1.45 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.36 | $0.004 | $0.07 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.68 | $0.105 | $1.86 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 72.68 | $0.069 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.02 | $0.067 | $2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes | sell | 13.42 | $0.062 | $0.84 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.050 | $0.42 | Mar 20, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.7 | $0.570 | $0.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.67 | $0.580 | $0.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Suns vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Oilers vs. BluesOilers | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown | buy | 1.42 | $0.690 | $0.98 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.66 | $0.530 | $1.94 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.76 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.045 | $0.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.51 | $0.082 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Timberwolves vs. ClippersTimberwolves | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
76ers vs. Pacers76ers | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?Up | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.149 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.143 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.26 | $0.780 | $0.99 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.040 | $10.1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | sell | 3.13 | $0.990 | $3.1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |