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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.41K | $0.925 | $10.17K | +$550.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.984 | $984 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.28K |
| $0.972 |
| $5.22K |
| +$89.18 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5.21K | $0.968 | $5.17K | +$128.3 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 3.78K | $0.898 | $3.61K | +$215.19 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 2.89K | $0.943 | $2.75K | +$30.43 |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 2.06K | $0.963 | $2.02K | +$34.79 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2K | $0.887 | $1.73K | -$45 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.48K | $0.932 | $1.43K | +$50.99 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.11K | $0.902 | $1.06K | +$53.04 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.962 | $981.5 | +$19.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.950 | $971.5 | +$21.5 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1K | $0.928 | $843.5 | -$84.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 699.99 | $0.962 | $699.64 | +$26.25 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.550 | $524.99 | -$25 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 889.05 | $0.387 | $312.5 | -$31.56 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 555 | $0.570 | $258.08 | -$58.28 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 308.04 | $0.864 | $254.13 | -$11.86 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 250.38 | $0.910 | $236.61 | +$8.76 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 400.01 | $0.660 | $186 | -$78 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.92K | $0.170 | $137.13 | -$188.91 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2K | $0.041 | $113 | +$31 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.69K | $0.034 | $108.85 | -$14.78 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 438.5 | $0.754 | $103.05 | -$227.64 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 320 | $0.330 | $100.8 | -$4.8 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.36K | $0.009 | $98.56 | +$39.98 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.928 |
| $13.92 |
| 6d ago |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 41.28 | $0.660 | $27.24 | 8d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.970 | $1.46K | 10d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 100 | $0.969 | $96.9 | 10d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.974 | $3.25K | 10d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 103.52 | $0.034 | $3.52 | 10d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 636.82 | $0.034 | $21.65 | 10d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | 17d ago |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 448.73 | $0.970 | $435.27 | 17d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 808.85 | $0.970 | $784.58 | 17d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 762.13 | $0.959 | $730.88 | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | 17d ago |
 Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 84.72 | $0.760 | $64.39 | 23d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 485 | $0.731 | $354.53 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 306.32 | $0.962 | $294.68 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 353.52 | $0.971 | $343.27 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 642.75 | $0.870 | $559.19 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.739 | $772.81 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 345.42 | $0.950 | $328.15 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.720 | $79.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 450 | $0.870 | $391.5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.850 | $1.64 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 470.56 | $0.985 | $463.31 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 88.97 | $0.980 | $87.19 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 219.1 | $0.910 | $199.38 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.680 | $34 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Bobby Williams finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 36.67 | $0.945 | $34.67 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Caneste Succe finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 47.4 | $0.948 | $44.96 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Paul Renner finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 555 | $0.973 | $540.02 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.580 | $728.18 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 244.39 | $0.978 | $239.01 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 24 | $0.957 | $22.97 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 20.02 | $0.952 | $19.06 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 241.21 | $0.960 | $231.56 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.700 | $77.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.440 | $532.64 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.968 | $1.09K | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 312 | $0.959 | $299.19 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.944 | $18.88 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.974 | $974 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 232.31 | $0.951 | $220.93 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 107 | $0.950 | $101.65 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes | sell | 449.99 | $0.830 | $373.49 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.110 | $55 | Jun 21, 2026 |