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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 2.98 |
| $0.972 |
| $2.9 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.973 | $2.9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.31 | $0.987 | $8.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.977 | $4.13 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 8.43 | $0.991 | $8.35 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 8.43 | $0.989 | $8.34 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?No | sell | 8.36 | $0.997 | $8.33 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?No | buy | 8.37 | $0.992 | $8.3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 90 and 99 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 8.31 | $0.995 | $8.27 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 4?No | buy | 8.27 | $0.995 | $8.23 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?No | buy | 8.23 | $0.995 | $8.19 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 70.53 | $0.037 | $2.63 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.980 | $2.63 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.995 | $2.67 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 17?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.999 | $2.67 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.950 | $2.54 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Big Balls removed from DOGE in February?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.984 | $2.5 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.990 | $6.47 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Will Trump remove Sriram before inauguration?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.990 | $2.31 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Tether Insolvent in 2024?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.989 | $2.25 | Dec 19, 2024 |
State wide recount in Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.997 | $2.54 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 0.66 | $0.967 | $0.64 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.970 | $3.08 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will Job Amupanda be the next President of Namibia?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Will Nana Kwame Bediako be the next President of Ghana?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.997 | $1.58 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Fed rate hike in 2024?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.987 | $1.49 | Nov 21, 2024 |
State wide recount in Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.984 | $1.2 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.976 | $1.69 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.991 | $1.24 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Roderic O'Gorman be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No | buy | 0.9 | $0.997 | $0.9 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Republicans control 228 seats in the House after the election?Yes | sell | 24.21K | $0.001 | $24.21 | Nov 20, 2024 |
Will Republicans control 228 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 28.75K | $0.001 | $28.75 | Nov 20, 2024 |
Will Republicans control 227 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 32.43K | $0.001 | $32.43 | Nov 20, 2024 |