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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 16.13 |
| $0.620 |
| $10 |
| Jul 26, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 16.39 | $0.960 | $15.73 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China before September?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.933 | $10.97 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit China before September?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 29.97 | $0.650 | $19.48 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 37.33 | $0.268 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 41.38 | $0.242 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.880 | $10.35 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 25.05 | $0.939 | $23.52 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 13.05 | $0.843 | $11 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.460 | $4 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 12 | $0.833 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 25.06 | $0.999 | $25.03 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 25.06 | $0.399 | $10 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 37.93 | $0.290 | $11 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | May 9, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?Yes | buy | 284.09 | $0.035 | $10 | May 9, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | May 8, 2025 |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.650 | $4 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Carney visit on May 6?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | May 4, 2025 |