Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58%. Yes opened at 55% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 May 2025 to 6 May 2025, the highest close was 59.5% on 4 May 2025 and the lowest 55% on 3 May 2025. $10.9K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 May 2025 – 6 May 2025, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 55.0% |
| 6 May 2025 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cosmic Pioneer 5390 | No | 1K |
| Swift Vector 964E | No | 815 |
| Solar Scout 710A | No | 510 |
| Rapid Beacon 96E0 | No | 460 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference with Mark Carney on May 6, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-02/canada-s-carney-set-to-meet-trump-at-white-house-early-next-week This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference with the Prime Minister of Canada events (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). If a Bilateral Lunch is scheduled and broadcast, it will also qualify toward this market's resolution. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fHUFI2nfJ1c
Official listing:
| Lunar Scout 86D8 | No | 175 |
| Quiet Tide A641 | No | 25 |
| Indigo Voyager CB39 | No | 5 |
| Jade Falcon C814 | No | 5 |
| Amber Signal 3CF2 | No | 5 |
| J5j96 | No | 4.55 |
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