Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
neformal has made $104.13K on Polymarket, #1,868 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 18.44K | $0.947 | $18.04K | +$567.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 15:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 20:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 20:13 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 3,476 markets. Its open positions are worth $71.35K across 174 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 9.84K |
| $0.990 |
| $9.79K |
| +$44.3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.19K | $0.217 | $3.18K | -$764.46 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2.62K | $0.821 | $2.42K | +$273.08 |
 Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 3.38K | $0.580 | $2.08K | +$116.77 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 8.31K | $0.228 | $2.04K | +$143.32 |
 Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | No | 2.11K | $0.890 | $1.97K | +$94.16 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.889 | $1.96K | +$172.67 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.1K | $0.761 | $1.73K | +$135.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.850 | $1.61K | -$90 |
 Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | No | 1.7K | $0.861 | $1.45K | -$20.18 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.89K | $0.380 | $998.37 | -$101.02 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.909 | $983.14 | +$51.31 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.930 | $955 | +$25 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by October 31, 2026? | No | 954.77 | $0.948 | $929.47 | +$24.73 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.13K | $0.404 | $883.41 | +$24.08 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 2.45K | $0.190 | $796.77 | +$329.96 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026? | Yes | 793.61 | $0.905 | $765.04 | +$47.07 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan? | Yes | 2.52K | $0.174 | $732.22 | +$292.59 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 774.97 | $0.899 | $720.72 | +$23.58 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 28, 2026? | Yes | 749.55 | $0.902 | $715.82 | +$39.29 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.500 | $631.5 | +$131.5 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026? | No | 626.67 | $0.790 | $504.47 | +$9.33 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026? | No | 480.58 | $0.824 | $460.16 | +$64.18 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by October 31, 2026? | No | 504.91 | $0.682 | $441.8 | +$97.51 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
