Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
neformal has made $104.47K on Polymarket, #1,871 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 18.44K | $0.947 | $18.1K | +$632.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 10:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 14:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 14:44 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 3,478 markets. Its open positions are worth $79.09K across 165 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 9.84K |
| $0.990 |
| $9.79K |
| +$44.3 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 12K | $0.500 | $9.61K | +$3.61K |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.19K | $0.217 | $3K | -$946.34 |
US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2.62K | $0.821 | $2.42K | +$273.08 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12K | $0.500 | $2.39K | -$3.61K |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 8.31K | $0.228 | $2.04K | +$143.32 |
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | No | 2.11K | $0.890 | $1.94K | +$62.49 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.889 | $1.83K | +$47.31 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.18K | $0.763 | $1.78K | +$113.65 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.850 | $1.63K | -$70 |
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.96K | $0.580 | $1.14K | -$0.79 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.917 | $1.09K | +$36.09 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.89K | $0.380 | $998.37 | -$101.02 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.930 | $955 | +$25 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by October 31, 2026? | No | 954.77 | $0.948 | $936.15 | +$31.41 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.13K | $0.404 | $883.41 | +$24.08 |
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | No | 801.9 | $0.861 | $801.5 | +$111.18 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026? | Yes | 793.61 | $0.905 | $780.91 | +$62.94 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 774.97 | $0.899 | $720.72 | +$23.58 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 28, 2026? | Yes | 749.55 | $0.902 | $695.96 | +$19.43 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.500 | $651.5 | +$151.5 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026? | No | 626.67 | $0.790 | $529.54 | +$34.39 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026? | No | 480.58 | $0.824 | $460.4 | +$64.42 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 999.93 | $0.399 | $439.47 | +$40.5 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.