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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 360 | $0.299 | $107.71 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 99 |
| $0.430 |
| $42.57 |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 360 | $0.470 | $169.2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 195 | $0.810 | $157.95 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 29.9 | $0.670 | $20.03 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 50.1 | $0.680 | $34.07 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 195 | $0.790 | $154.05 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.710 | $24.85 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 533 | $0.120 | $63.96 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 80 | $0.700 | $56 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 258 | $0.240 | $61.92 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.690 | $24.15 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 533 | $0.080 | $42.64 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 258 | $0.240 | $61.92 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 190.18 | $0.982 | $186.8 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.184 | $18.4 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.184 | $18.4 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 200 | $0.985 | $197 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 249.4 | $0.130 | $32.42 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No | buy | 253.02 | $0.998 | $252.52 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | sell | 100.46 | $0.156 | $15.7 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 100.72 | $0.109 | $11 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?No | sell | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | sell | 100.21 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?No | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.978 | $37.61 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | sell | 102.03 | $0.019 | $1.94 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 99.92 | $0.023 | $2.31 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.050 | $5.1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 100.03 | $0.084 | $8.4 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.105 | $10.5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 100.46 | $0.166 | $16.7 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 100.22 | $0.250 | $25.1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 100.33 | $0.232 | $23.3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.989 | $98.9 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 200.4 | $0.147 | $29.5 | Oct 12, 2025 |