Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 89 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2025 to 25 Nov 2025, the highest close was 61% on 26 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 57% on 9 Oct 2025. $1.03M traded over the market's life.
162 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 26, 4:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 29 Aug 2025 – 25 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 25 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yomter | Yes | 32.37K |
| Adabear | Yes | 23.98K |
| theonlynom | Yes | 21.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $8,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/monad-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 13K |
| Azure Sphinx 8E6A | Yes | 8.82K |
| Nooga | Yes | 5.33K |
| shutdownend | Yes | 5K |
| bzzzz | Yes | 4.99K |
| redacted123 | Yes | 4.81K |
| casio121 | Yes | 4.5K |
