Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Quiet Raven D181 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #527,819 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$8.08 observed lifetime PnL, 11 distinct markets, 8 resolved positions, a 25.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x2d775f36734024f9a18e99cf4063b15288acd181
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 117 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-08-23); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 39 | $0.500 | $36.86 | +$17.36 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | No | 9 | $0.810 | $8.61 | +$1.32 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 9 | $0.930 | $8.42 | +$0.05 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 7 | $0.890 | $6.76 | +$0.53 |
 Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.650 | $5.22 | +$1.32 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.926 | $4.85 | +$0.22 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.473 | $4.63 | +$2.26 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.930 | $8.37 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.473 | $2.36 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | May 29, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.926 | $4.63 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.790 | $7.11 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.850 | $5.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.810 | $7.29 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.380 | $5.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 11 | $0.180 | $1.98 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.