Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:00 PM UTC.
michellenorton has made $1.49 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:00 PM UTC.
$15.12 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Mar 30, 2025 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 19.02 | $0.700 | $15.5 | +$2.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?No | buy | 17.3 | $0.860 | $14.88 | 13h ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-08 07:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 14:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 14:00 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-08 07:15 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $50.01 and losing ones cost $38.81 across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $13.04 on “Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?” (Yes); the largest loss, $18.37 on “Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 86 markets. Its open positions are worth $44.26 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 17.3 |
| $0.860 |
| $14.45 |
| -$0.43 |
Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election? | Yes | 18.23 | $0.800 | $14.31 | -$0.27 |
| buy |
| 11.74 |
| $0.920 |
| $10.8 |
| 25d ago |
Ravens vs. CowboysRavens | buy | 32.36 | $0.620 | $20.06 | 25d ago |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 31.14 | $0.590 | $18.37 | 29d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27?No | buy | 28.73 | $0.770 | $22.12 | 29d ago |
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu LionsSaitama Seibu Lions | buy | 26.59 | $0.590 | $15.69 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 19.02 | $0.700 | $13.31 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18.23 | $0.800 | $14.58 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.730 | $2.74 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Yes | buy | 21.96 | $0.891 | $19.57 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?No | buy | 8.17 | $0.999 | $8.16 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 12.32 | $0.998 | $12.3 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.999 | $7.25 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 27.71 | $0.999 | $27.68 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Will Ethena hit $0.41 in January?No | buy | 36.07 | $0.999 | $36.03 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 15.04 | $0.999 | $15.02 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.992 | $15.1 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.999 | $9.51 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 52.32 | $0.999 | $52.27 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?No | buy | 21.16 | $0.999 | $21.14 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 25.56 | $0.999 | $25.53 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.997 | $29.32 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No | buy | 12.67 | $0.999 | $12.66 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.999 | $12.78 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.999 | $13.06 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October?No | buy | 13.94 | $0.999 | $13.93 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 10.78 | $0.997 | $10.75 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No | buy | 16.26 | $0.998 | $16.23 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No | buy | 15.1 | $0.999 | $15.08 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?No | buy | 20.01 | $0.999 | $19.99 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 15.08 | $0.999 | $15.06 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
Menswear Guy deported before August?No | buy | 27.8 | $0.998 | $27.74 | Jul 27, 2025 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall before August?No | buy | 29.75 | $0.996 | $29.63 | Jul 27, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 17.48 | $0.999 | $17.46 | Jul 27, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 37.6 | $0.999 | $37.56 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
Base airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 34.52 | $0.999 | $34.49 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 38.1 | $0.996 | $37.95 | May 28, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No | buy | 23.87 | $0.998 | $23.82 | May 27, 2025 UTC |
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 5.02K | $0.996 | $5K | May 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 5.02K | $0.997 | $5K | May 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?No | buy | 12.29 | $0.995 | $12.23 | Apr 20, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in April?No | buy | 13.15 | $0.999 | $13.14 | Apr 19, 2025 UTC |
Will 3 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?No | buy | 15.16 | $0.999 | $15.14 | Apr 19, 2025 UTC |
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?No | buy | 14.91 | $0.999 | $14.9 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
Will another party win the most seats in Saskatchewan in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 10.84 | $0.998 | $10.82 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 16.38 | $0.994 | $16.28 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | buy | 18.22 | $0.999 | $18.2 | Apr 9, 2025 UTC |
Will XRP reach $3.10 in March?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.999 | $4.81 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Solana dip to $100 by March?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.997 | $7.51 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.