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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No | buy | 33.88 | $0.886 | $30 | Mar 8, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 20.97 |
| $0.954 |
| $20 |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Yes | buy | 21.16 | $0.945 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 12.72 | $0.786 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 30.52 | $0.983 | $30 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 3PM ETUp | buy | 20.61 | $0.970 | $19.99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.960 | $30 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 104.49 | $0.957 | $100 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 41.28 | $0.969 | $40 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?No | buy | 22.2 | $0.901 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?No | buy | 20.37 | $0.982 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?No | buy | 40.65 | $0.984 | $40 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 20.45 | $0.978 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 61.35 | $0.978 | $60 | Jan 6, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 61.6 | $0.974 | $60 | Jan 6, 2026 |
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.990 | $22 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 22.89 | $0.830 | $19 | Dec 15, 2025 |
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?No | buy | 21.86 | $0.915 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 11 | $0.993 | $10.92 | Oct 27, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 24.73 | $0.930 | $23 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| buy | 19.11 | $0.942 | $18 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?No | sell | 11.72 | $0.990 | $11.6 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 27.17 | $0.985 | $26.76 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 13.48 | $0.890 | $12 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | sell | 11.53 | $0.981 | $11.31 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.780 | $21 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.780 | $9 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 11.64 | $0.945 | $11 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.991 | $11.13 | Sep 25, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.820 | $11 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11 | $0.909 | $10 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?No | buy | 10.67 | $0.937 | $10 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?No | buy | 11.73 | $0.938 | $11 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 1450 and 1499 times September 1–30?No | sell | 21.5 | $0.975 | $20.97 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Anduril IPO in 2025?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.920 | $8 | Sep 13, 2025 |