Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 18 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 108 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 55.5% on 21 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 3.5% on 22 Nov 2025. $201.04K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 18 Oct 2025 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Patricknovak | Yes | 2.46K |
| Pancp | Yes | 714.2 |
| veltaypan | Yes | 537.16 |
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfQHy4mVcBo
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-12
| Yes |
| 334 |
| LukeAlpha | Yes | 300 |
| kamarat | Yes | 300 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 299.98 |
| max2907 | Yes | 271.3 |
| Hasty-Map | Yes | 252.48 |
| Outstanding-Guinea | Yes | 250.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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