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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2.24 | +$0.24 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.85 |
| $0.540 |
| $1 |
| Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.910 | $1.68 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.150 | $0.3 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.360 | $0.67 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.920 | $1.67 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.957 | $1.73 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.240 | $0.96 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Duke win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Auburn win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.95 | $0.339 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.092 | $0.44 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.130 | $1.44 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Aug 8, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | sell | 74.99 | $0.060 | $4.5 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 13, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.470 | $4 | Jul 13, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jul 13, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Jul 13, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 13, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 13, 2024 |