Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 11.5%. Yes opened at 80.5% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 317 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 13 Nov 2025, the highest close was 80.5% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 9.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 22% on 10 Oct 2025. $980.85K traded over the market's life.
310 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 317 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 13 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 80.5% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 11.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by
| 0xloren | No | 5.64K |
| zuozhuan123 | Yes | 2K |
| Trezor55 | Yes | 1.96K |
| Fire13 | No | 1.68K |
| 0414 | Yes | 1.24K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.2K |
| 7153649820 | No | 804.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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