Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:01 AM UTC.
Analytics
TheDao is down $1.7K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:01 AM UTC.
$3.2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 18 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Oct 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 97.41K | $0.018 | $2.68K | +$954.52 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.018 | $0.11 | 19h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 21:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
19 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 07:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 07:01 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 21:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.47K and losing ones cost $3.18K across 47 settled positions. 57.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.05K on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $817 on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 96 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.44K across 19 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 41.53K |
| $0.006 |
| $809.82 |
| +$571.02 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 519 | $0.520 | $267.29 | -$2.6 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 647.46 | $0.428 | $249.27 | -$27.66 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1.11K | $0.234 | $182.33 | -$75.91 |
 Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 220 | $0.130 | $67.21 | +$38.61 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3K | $0.023 | $60 | -$9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.050 | $55 | +$5 |
 Cornell President out by October 31? | Yes | 722.33 | $0.040 | $25.28 | -$3.61 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 145.98 | $0.280 | $18.25 | -$22.63 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 285.64 | $0.018 | $5.86 | +$0.71 |
| Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 77.39 | $0.038 | $5.34 | +$2.4 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,800,000 and 11,200,000? | Yes | 23.87 | $0.010 | $4.24 | +$4 |
 Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October? | Yes | 150 | $0.435 | $4.2 | -$61 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $3.25 | -$1.25 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 10 | $0.190 | $2.1 | +$0.2 |
 Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and Republicans win Nebraska? | Yes | 4 | $0.110 | $0.94 | +$0.5 |
 Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.050 | $0.22 | -$0.03 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.290 | $0.16 | -$1.29 |
| buy |
| 6.11 |
| $0.018 |
| $0.11 |
| 20h ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.018 | $0.11 | 21h ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.018 | $0.11 | 1d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.13 | $0.018 | $0.13 | 1d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.018 | $0.11 | 1d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 135.34 | $0.018 | $2.44 | 1d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.13 | $0.018 | $0.13 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No | buy | 519 | $0.520 | $269.88 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.230 | $254.15 | 2d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 59.05 | $0.018 | $1.06 | 2d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.018 | $0.11 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?No | buy | 500 | $0.430 | $215 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?No | buy | 147.46 | $0.420 | $61.93 | 2d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.018 | $0.03 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 21.64 | $0.290 | $6.28 | 3d ago |
| Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and Republicans win Nebraska?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.110 | $0.44 | 3d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | sell | 299 | $0.110 | $32.89 | 4d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.110 | $0.11 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.180 | $216 | 6d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.018 | $0.15 | 8d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.13 | $0.018 | $0.13 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 87.7 | $0.056 | $4.91 | 8d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.018 | $0.11 | 8d ago |
| Cornell President out by October 31?Yes | buy | 722.33 | $0.040 | $28.89 | 8d ago |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.54 | $0.056 | $0.31 | 8d ago |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.056 | $1.12 | 8d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.018 | $0.11 | 8d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.018 | $0.2 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 184.9 | $0.130 | $24.04 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.130 | $0.6 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.5 | $0.130 | $3.97 | 9d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,800,000 and 11,200,000?Yes | buy | 15.19 | $0.010 | $0.15 | 10d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,800,000 and 11,200,000?Yes | buy | 8.68 | $0.010 | $0.09 | 10d ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.46 | $0.740 | $14.4 | 11d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | 11d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.17 | $0.740 | $37.13 | 11d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 11d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.31 | $0.740 | $34.27 | 11d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.3 | $0.740 | $5.4 | 11d ago |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.023 | $69 | 11d ago |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.067 | $0.8 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.46 | $0.067 | $0.97 | 12d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | buy | 3K | $0.050 | $150 | 12d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.606 | $97 | 14d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.15K | $0.090 | $193.59 | 14d ago |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.027 | $270 | 15d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 149.99 | $0.050 | $7.5 | 16d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.