Latest trade
Jun 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 9:31 AM UTC.
Analytics
CadWinner is down $209.5 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 9:31 AM UTC.
$39.74 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from May 10, 2025 UTC to Jun 2, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 43.81 | $0.913 | $42.83 | +$2.83 |
 Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?Yes | buy | 79.22 | $0.505 | $40 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-12 22:37 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 09:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 09:31 UTC
polymarket positions
49 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-12 22:37 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $529.32 and losing ones cost $658.82 across 47 settled positions. 72.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $81.62 on “Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?” (Yes); the largest loss, $141.14 on “Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 2 Jun 2026. It has traded 51 markets. Its open positions are worth $56.29 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 79.22 |
| $0.505 |
| $13.47 |
| -$26.53 |
| buy |
| 154.93 |
| $0.120 |
| $18.59 |
| Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 29.48 | $0.660 | $19.46 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 47.01 | $0.840 | $39.49 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.700 | $40 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 43.81 | $0.913 | $40 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes | buy | 40.73 | $0.720 | $29.33 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | buy | 40.43 | $0.742 | $30 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 31.27 | $0.442 | $13.82 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 31.27 | $0.640 | $20 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | sell | 67.29 | $0.905 | $60.87 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | buy | 67.3 | $0.656 | $44.18 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | buy | 24.28 | $0.870 | $21.12 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 29.52 | $0.745 | $22 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.210 | $23.33 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.760 | $40 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?Yes | buy | 99.17 | $0.520 | $51.57 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 94.59 | $0.740 | $70 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 121.57 | $0.943 | $114.64 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | sell | 119.04 | $0.963 | $114.64 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 365.07 | $0.140 | $51.11 | Aug 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.390 | $7.41 | Aug 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.390 | $12.09 | Aug 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Aug 6, 2025 UTC |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | Aug 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 0.59 | $0.906 | $0.53 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 4.97 | $0.906 | $4.5 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 22.44 | $0.906 | $20.33 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?Yes | sell | 1.99 | $0.250 | $0.5 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?Yes | sell | 50.01 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 71 | $0.760 | $53.96 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.110 | $11.22 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 314.26 | $0.290 | $91.14 | Jul 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 26?No | buy | 132 | $0.891 | $117.61 | Jun 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?No | sell | 127.94 | $0.920 | $117.7 | Jun 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?No | buy | 127.94 | $0.612 | $78.32 | Jun 12, 2025 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 65.69 | $0.900 | $59.12 | Jun 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?No | buy | 78.31 | $0.830 | $65 | Jun 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?No | buy | 109.05 | $0.917 | $100 | Jun 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?No | buy | 36 | $0.860 | $30.96 | May 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?No | buy | 21 | $0.860 | $18.06 | May 21, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 88.24 | $0.850 | $75 | May 11, 2025 UTC |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 113.58 | $0.528 | $60 | May 10, 2025 UTC |
 NDP member appointed to the Canadian cabinet?No | buy | 54.17 | $0.923 | $50 | May 10, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 107 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.