Analytics
failstoberr has made $82.43K on Polymarket, #2,330 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 34.3K | $0.454 | $23.15K | +$7.58K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 11:42 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 14:28 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 14:28 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 18:04 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $561.45K and losing ones cost $232.44K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $95.87K on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $36.84K on “Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
It has traded 655 markets. Its open positions are worth $202.86K across 128 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 42.82K |
| $0.462 |
| $20.15K |
| +$365.62 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 24.32K | $0.755 | $19.82K | +$1.45K |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 30K | $0.618 | $19.05K | +$505.72 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 25.07K | $0.351 | $17.91K | +$9.1K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 18.66K | $0.320 | $17.64K | +$11.67K |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 15.77K | $0.655 | $11.43K | +$1.1K |
 Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 31.11K | $0.183 | $7.31K | +$1.61K |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 10K | $0.620 | $6.15K | -$49.95 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.32K | $0.438 | $5.97K | +$3.2K |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.2K | $0.563 | $5.78K | +$1.16K |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 34.25K | $0.078 | $5.58K | +$2.92K |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 10.06K | $0.396 | $3.37K | -$614.56 |
 Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 10K | $0.381 | $2.65K | -$1.16K |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 4.44K | $0.502 | $2.28K | +$51.11 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.33K | $0.590 | $2.18K | +$216.65 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.78K | $0.131 | $2.14K | +$468.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.95K | $0.584 | $1.93K | +$210.65 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.39K | $0.777 | $1.9K | +$40.93 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 55.26K | $0.024 | $1.82K | +$477.36 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 11.11K | $0.012 | $1.77K | +$1.63K |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.89K | $0.028 | $1.58K | +$1.06K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 8.29K | $0.412 | $1.53K | -$1.88K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14.44K | $0.006 | $1.47K | +$1.37K |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 2.76K | $0.510 | $1.46K | +$55.26 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
