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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | sell | 95.08 | $0.050 | $4.75 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 411.45 |
| $0.060 |
| $24.88 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 411.44 | $0.086 | $35.26 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 243.88 | $0.145 | $35.26 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 582.68 | $0.021 | $12.15 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 162.02 | $0.025 | $4.05 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 100.01 | $0.031 | $3.1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 248.43 | $0.068 | $16.89 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | sell | 75.33 | $0.027 | $2.03 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.354 | $22.13 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 75.34 | $0.133 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?No | sell | 72.5 | $0.610 | $44.23 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?No | buy | 72.5 | $0.596 | $43.2 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.46 | $0.593 | $37.01 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.150 | $0.83 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 6.15 | $0.870 | $5.35 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.46 | $0.540 | $33.73 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 248.44 | $0.081 | $20 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $145 before 2026??Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.019 | $20 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 24?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.190 | $25 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.943 | $8.37 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | sell | 59.38 | $0.758 | $45 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Yes | sell | 146.34 | $0.310 | $45.37 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 243.88 | $0.074 | $18.1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 95.24 | $0.190 | $18.1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.840 | $5.17 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | sell | 31.74 | $0.064 | $2.03 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.063 | $2 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.937 | $5.14 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 8.88 | $0.680 | $6.04 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.015 | $20 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Yes | buy | 146.34 | $0.410 | $60 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 36.08 | $0.976 | $35.21 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.33 | $0.780 | $10.4 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.930 | $40.43 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 59.39 | $0.654 | $38.85 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 2.98K | $0.001 | $3.14 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.98K | $0.005 | $16.16 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 130.38 | $0.153 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 36.08 | $0.950 | $34.28 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.690 | $30 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | sell | 26.62 | $0.970 | $25.82 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.200 | $38.46 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | buy | 26.63 | $0.967 | $25.75 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?Yes | buy | 472.73 | $0.212 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |