Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 33% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 11% on 27 Nov 2025. $99.53K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | 14.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nimble-Mobility | Yes | 1.07K |
| MJaen1976 | Yes | 1.06K |
| Albert 1953 | Yes | 814 |
| Dear-Desire | Yes | 612.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit before 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-nvda-hit-before-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 480 |
| Scornful-Algebra | Yes | 290 |
| VictoryGod | Yes | 280.31 |
| Determined-Cover | Yes | 210 |
| rms7 | Yes | 200 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 158 |
