Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 156.13 | $0.320 | $17.17 | -$32.83 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 23.99 | $0.406 | $9.74 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 56.18 |
| $0.089 |
| $2.16 |
| -$2.84 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 99.57 | $0.100 | $1.64 | -$8.36 |
| buy |
| 21.52 |
| $0.407 |
| $8.77 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.089 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.031 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 99.57 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.108 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 195.8 | $0.150 | $29.37 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 39.13 | $0.230 | $9 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | buy | 25.93 | $0.270 | $7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 25.26 | $0.097 | $2.45 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.065 | $10 | Nov 16, 2025 |