Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 5.65 | $0.992 | $5.64 | +$0.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.992 | $5.6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 23.61 |
| $0.550 |
| $12.99 |
| Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | sell | 3 | $0.998 | $2.99 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 3.69 | $0.969 | $3.58 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.990 | $3.66 | May 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.979 | $5.44 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by March 31?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.991 | $6.22 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.999 | $5.75 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by January 31?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.993 | $3.61 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.970 | $2.35 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.996 | $5.43 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.974 | $1.34 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Texas be the closest state?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.988 | $1.29 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No | buy | 2.2 | $0.981 | $2.16 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 2.11 | $0.963 | $2.03 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will there be more than 800 points scored NFL week 1?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.998 | $1.75 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by December 18?Yes | sell | 3.83 | $0.992 | $3.8 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 X banned in EU before October?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.987 | $3.44 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.966 | $2.04 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 2.48 | $0.997 | $2.47 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by December 18?Yes | buy | 3.83 | $0.994 | $3.81 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will there be more than 800 points scored NFL week 1?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.999 | $1.75 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?No | sell | 3.71 | $0.981 | $3.64 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?No | sell | 5.22 | $0.997 | $5.2 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.997 | $2.48 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?No | buy | 3.72 | $0.982 | $3.65 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 2024 August hottest on record?Yes | sell | 3.2 | $0.989 | $3.16 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.999 | $5.22 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 2.16 | $0.965 | $2.08 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| 2024 August hottest on record?Yes | buy | 3.21 | $0.988 | $3.17 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 4.61 | $0.997 | $4.6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.967 | $2.09 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.998 | $4.61 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.997 | $26.94 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Will the Director of FBI be fired/resign?No | buy | 13.61 | $0.968 | $13.17 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | sell | 10.44 | $0.999 | $10.43 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.999 | $27 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.996 | $10.4 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?No | sell | 40.08 | $0.997 | $39.96 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.998 | $40 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.53K | $0.002 | $3.05 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.3K | $0.002 | $4.61 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.002 | $2.35 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 France train attack claimed by terror org?No | sell | 19.38 | $0.979 | $18.97 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.01K | $0.003 | $15.02 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| France train attack claimed by terror org?No | buy | 19.39 | $0.980 | $19 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 TikTok sale announced before August?No | sell | 43.04 | $0.998 | $42.95 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| TikTok sale announced before August?No | buy | 43.04 | $0.999 | $43 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?No | sell | 45.22 | $0.971 | $43.91 | Jul 29, 2024 |