Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 9% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the highest close was 16% on 28 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 6 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 7% on 29 Jul 2024. $16.93K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 6:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 6 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 9.0% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| toxicemo | Yes | 16.67 |
| justmyself | Yes | 0.14 |
| MtrxZ | No | 0.08 |
| Azure Sphinx B451 | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/france-train-attack-claimed-by-terror-org
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Basis | No | 0.01 |
| asi-356 | No | 0.01 |
| displaynamejustthat | No | 0.01 |
