
Resolved No on 9 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Mar 2024. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 8 Mar 2024 and the low 0.1% on 2 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.5% on 9 Mar 2024. $3.41M traded over the market's life.
228 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 10, 6:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 247 points · 8 Mar 2024 – 9 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2024 | 50.0% |
| 9 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 871.36K |
| PolyMucket | Yes | 146.66K |
| ER01MM | Yes | 13.43K |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Nevada.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nevada-presidential-election-winner
| higherstue | Yes | 9.95K |
| Emerald Beacon F675 | Yes | 7.38K |
| ER02CB | Yes | 6.67K |
| barak990 | Yes | 5.7K |
| ER04OK | Yes | 1K |
| Ronalod | Yes | 1K |
| Cobalt Scout B25E | Yes | 585 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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