Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 79.9 | $0.620 | $65.92 | +$16.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | buy | 5.89 | $0.849 | $5 | 9d ago |
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kilima is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,822,508 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$276.14 observed lifetime PnL, 316 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 36.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x1574d715583f97ee03175f4f132d331720967b2a
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 23.26 |
| $0.860 |
| $17.79 |
| -$2.21 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.77K | $0.014 | $16.81 | -$7.5 |
 SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.87 | $0.630 | $14.37 | +$4.37 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.760 | $12.61 | +$2.61 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10.89 | +$0.89 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.820 | $9.88 | +$1.68 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 13.16 | $0.760 | $9.41 | -$0.59 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 12.5 | $0.800 | $9.19 | -$0.81 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.830 | $8.66 | +$0.36 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 29.2 | $0.685 | $6.28 | -$13.72 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 28.57 | $0.700 | $6.14 | -$13.86 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.958 | $4.89 | +$0.1 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027? | Yes | 47.49 | $0.186 | $2.14 | -$6.68 |
| buy |
| 13.16 |
| $0.760 |
| $10 |
| 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | 10d ago |
| SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 25.5 | $0.392 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | 17d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.300 | $3.89 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.090 | $3.1 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.400 | $0.56 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Glean IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.84 | $0.080 | $1.19 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.978 | $2.04 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.161 | $0.55 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.810 | $8.09 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | sell | 68.17 | $0.330 | $22.5 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 4.4 | $0.227 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 3.38 | $0.592 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 16.73 | $0.625 | $10.46 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.170 | $44.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| France vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | buy | 82.12 | $0.035 | $2.86 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.034 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| France vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | buy | 35.93 | $0.106 | $3.82 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| France vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | buy | 109.34 | $0.035 | $3.81 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| France vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | buy | 55.15 | $0.069 | $3.82 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| France vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | buy | 156.76 | $0.049 | $7.63 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 404.92 | $0.401 | $162.38 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.038 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.