Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.5K | $0.994 | $3.47K | -$7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | buy | 411.51 | $0.919 | $378.37 | 8h ago |
|
| No |
| 3.8K |
| $0.844 |
| $3.25K |
| +$42.02 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 2K | $0.985 | $1.99K | +$23 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.930 | $1.87K | +$10 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.651 | $1.84K | +$208.98 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2K | $0.860 | $1.75K | +$30 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 1.9K | $0.877 | $1.71K | +$44.09 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.4K | $0.608 | $1.26K | -$199.99 |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.689 | $1.1K | +$68.5 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.01K | $0.820 | $862.94 | +$35.7 |
 Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 799.93 | $0.894 | $756.74 | +$41.4 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.982 | $695.8 | +$8.4 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 700 | $0.910 | $654.5 | +$17.5 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 756.22 | $0.825 | $631.44 | +$7.58 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 810 | $0.711 | $595.35 | +$19.76 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 1.64K | $0.353 | $575.57 | -$1.97 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 800 | $0.640 | $532 | +$20 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600.01 | $0.880 | $531.01 | +$3 |
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.989 | $494.75 | +$0.25 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 599.98 | $0.780 | $482.99 | +$15 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | Yes | 500 | $0.890 | $480 | +$35 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 529.7 | $0.875 | $468.78 | +$5.24 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 499.99 | $0.670 | $439.99 | +$105 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 850 | $0.493 | $420.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 435.88 | $0.952 | $411.91 | -$2.97 |
| buy |
| 351.8 |
| $0.619 |
| $217.92 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 216.13 | $0.936 | $202.38 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | buy | 421.4 | $0.590 | $248.63 | 1d ago |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Yes | sell | 786.93 | $0.143 | $112.64 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 600 | $0.450 | $270 | 2d ago |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 833.37 | $0.158 | $131.29 | 3d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 400 | $0.790 | $316 | 4d ago |
 Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?No | buy | 124.99 | $0.999 | $124.84 | 8d ago |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?No | buy | 125 | $0.999 | $124.88 | 8d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.19 | $0.918 | $18.53 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.300 | $300 | 10d ago |
 Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?Yes | buy | 57.82 | $0.967 | $55.94 | 11d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 54.1 | $0.980 | $53.02 | 11d ago |
 Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | 11d ago |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.988 | $395.4 | 11d ago |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?No | buy | 990.95 | $0.998 | $988.88 | 11d ago |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31?No | buy | 807 | $0.996 | $803.67 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.994 | $198.8 | 11d ago |
 Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | buy | 66.08 | $0.975 | $64.45 | 12d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.998 | $998 | 12d ago |
| Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | buy | 40.88 | $0.967 | $39.54 | 12d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.985 | $394 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.997 | $1.99K | 18d ago |
 Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.970 | $38.8 | 19d ago |
 Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on August 21?No | buy | 97.96 | $0.978 | $95.83 | 19d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.977 | $390.96 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.350 | $52.52 | 20d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.991 | $991 | 21d ago |
 Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | 21d ago |
 Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No | buy | 55 | $0.980 | $53.9 | 21d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 450 | $0.930 | $418.5 | 22d ago |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Yes | sell | 541.99 | $0.224 | $121.29 | 25d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.014 | $7 | 25d ago |
 Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 975.38 | $0.802 | $782.53 | 27d ago |
 Iran leadership change by August 22?No | buy | 100 | $0.981 | $98.1 | 29d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.997 | $398.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Rhaenyra Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?No | buy | 161.83 | $0.989 | $159.99 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Corlys Velaryon die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?No | buy | 81 | $0.885 | $71.69 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.950 | $332.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.998 | $299.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.910 | $364 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.962 | $384.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No | buy | 160 | $0.993 | $158.88 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 999.99 | $0.936 | $935.81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.928 | $92.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?No | buy | 29.14 | $0.950 | $27.68 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.990 | $29.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.430 | $172 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | buy | 250 | $0.640 | $160 | Aug 1, 2026 |